美国外交关系委员会（CFR）报告称，“伊朗的领导层更迭可能呈现三种主要路径：政权延续、军事政变或政权崩溃。”报告同时警告，在过渡后的一年左右时间里，这些短期情景“均未预示”会出现积极的转变。如果一切照旧，本质上就是“没有哈梅内伊的哈梅内伊主义”，全球投资者和伊朗家庭可能仍然面临不确定性，因为新领导人需要在资源有限和压力不断加剧的情况下“边做边学”，同时还要努力制定经济政策。
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