Whether or not we’re going to go to war in a foreign country, in the Trump administration, has now become the sort of thing that some people know, and most people don’t know, and we are betting on. And then right inside of that is, well, some people know, and now they have an enormous incentive to bet on it as well. And so you see insider trading happening all over these prediction markets, and I, for the life of me, cannot tell if that is a bug or a feature.
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